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Predictive Modelling



Bachelor year 3.

Admission requirements

  • Bachelor Archaeology first year obtained;

  • Knowledge and skills conform the BA2 Archaeology courses Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and Data Analysis.


During this course you will apply your knowledge and skills in computer applications as obtained during the first and second years of the Bachelor Archaeology. These skills will be applied in a realistic archaeological case study.

A desk assessment will be conducted for a small part on the Netherlands that combines two very characteristic Dutch landscapes: the Pleistocene moraine and the Holocene river areas.

Digital archaeological and environmental data will be collected, imported or digitised. Palaeo-geographic reconstruction and archaeological sites will be combined for several archaeological periods in order to interpret and predict the distribution patterns. The land use models should also include social factors.

Set-up of the course:
Weekly 4-hour session, in separate groups.

Course objectives

  • Ability to apply computers skills;

  • Knowledge about archaeological formation and deformation processes;

  • Regional spatial analysis based on find locations available in a national archaeological database (Archis);

  • Step-by-step experience in performing a desk assessment;

  • Ability to create, evaluate, describe and present archaeological predictive models.


Course schedule details can be found in the BA3 time schedule.

Mode of instruction

  • Practicals with blogs;

  • Written assignment (map and paper).

Course load

The course load will be distributed as follows:

  • 4 hours of lectures (introduction) + 52 hours of practicals (2 ec);

  • Approx. 100 p. literature (1 ec);

  • Written assignment approx. 3,500-4,000 words (2 ec).

Assessment method

  • Weekly blogs;

  • Mandatory attendance at practicals;

  • Digital map of the predictive model;

  • Report describing the production steps, choices and limitations of the predictive model.

A retake is only possible for the final report, but only if all other requirements, including the blogs, have been met.

All exam dates (exams, re-sits, paper deadlines etc.) can be found in the BA3 examination schedule.

Reading list

Will be provided by the lecturer, and will be supplemented with literature discovered by the students.


Registration via uSis is mandatory.

  • The Administration Office will register all BA1 students for their tutorials (not lectures; register via uSis!).

  • BA2, BA3, MA/MSc and RMA/RMSc students are required to register for all lectures and tutorials well in time.

  • The Administration Office registers all students for their exams, students are not required to do this in uSis.


For more information about this course, please contact drs. M. (Milco) Wansleeben.


Compulsory attendance.