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Predictive Modelling


Admission requirements

  • Geographic Information Systems (GIS) obtained;

  • This is a seminar with a limited number of participants (20 students), for Archaeology students exclusively;

  • BA3 students who want to take this course: please contact the Administration Office. You can only be admitted if there are spots left, BA2 students will have priority.


During this course you will apply your knowledge and skills in computer applications as obtained during the first and second years of the Bachelor Archaeology.
These skills will be applied in a realistic archaeological case study.

A desk assessment will be conducted for a small part in the center of the Netherlands that combines two very characteristic Dutch landscapes: the Pleistocene moraine and the Holocene riverine areas.

Digital archaeological and environmental data will be collected, imported or digitised. Palaeo-geographic reconstruction and archaeological sites will be combined for several archaeological periods in order to interpret and predict the distribution patterns. The land use models should also include social factors.

Course set-up

Each week, two 4-hour sessions will take place. You will be working in pairs, of which at least one student should be able to read Dutch, since most of the resources (maps and literature) are only available in Dutch.

Course objectives

  • Ability to apply computers skills;

  • Knowledge of archaeological formation and deformation processes;

  • Regional spatial analysis based on find locations available in a national archaeological database (Archis);

  • Step-by-step experience in performing a desk assessment;

  • Ability to create, evaluate, describe and present archaeological predictive models.


Course schedule details can be found in MyTimetable.
Log in with your ULCN account, and add this course using the 'Add timetable' button.

Mode of instruction

  • Practicals with blogs;

  • Written assignment (map and paper).

Assessment method

  • Report describing the production steps, choices and limitations of the predictive model (60%);

  • Digital map of the predictive model (30%);

  • Weekly personal blogs (10%);

  • Mandatory attendance during practicals.

A retake is only possible for the final report, but only if all other requirements, including the blogs, have been met.

Assessment deadlines

All assessment deadlines (exams, retakes, paper deadlines etc.) can be found in MyTimetable.
Log in with your ULCN account, and add this course using the 'Add timetable' button. To view the assessment deadline(s), make sure to select the course with a code ending in T and/or R.

Reading list

The reading list will be provided by the lecturer, and will be supplemented with literature discovered by the students.


Registration start dates for the BA2 seminars differ from the registration dates of the regular courses.

Registration will take place with the use of forms. These will be e-mailed by the study advisers to all BA2 students and pre-master students at the beginning of January 2024.

The Administration Office will register all Archaeology BA2 students in uSis for their seminar exams. However, confirmation of these exams in MyStudymap is mandatory. No confirmation = no participation!


For more information about this course, please contact drs. M. (Milco) Wansleeben.


Compulsory attendance.